Week 5 Suicide Picks

Congratulations if you have made it this far, but it has not been that tough yet so don't go patting yourself on the back just yet.  This is going to be the toughest week yet as many of the teams that might look like no brainers might not be.  I know for the most part, everybody is just going to pick against the Jaguars, but they will get a win at the most unlikely time and you don't want to be caught on autopilot.  This week, I am getting away from the Jaguar theme and I am going with a team that is 1-3, pretty scary thought I know.

Matty Ice needs
to be ice cold to
get a win this
Monday night!

Atlanta over the Jets at home will be my week 5 pick.  They have lost 3 games to 3 teams that combined have only lost 1 game and that was to one of the other 2 teams (Dolphins lost to the Saints).  This is a big game for them and they need to confront their demons in a hurry if they don't want to spiral out of the playoff race.  They should be able to score enough as Asante is coming back along with some young defensive backs to contain Geno Smith and company.

Don't get me wrong I think St. Louis over the Jags is a good pick, but it could be that win for the Jaguars as well.  They have a good pass defense and St. Louis has not shown it could run the ball yet this season.  The Jags offense did most of the scoring for the Colts last week, so if they can keep that under control this game could be closer than we think.  I do have St. Louis defense for fantasy this week just in case.  St. Louis is not good enough yet to consider them a definite win over anybody.

San Diego over Oakland, I like what Rivers and company are doing and they are putting up a good amount of points against good teams.  They should be able to keep it going against Oakland.

Denver and Green Bay seem to be big favorites, but these are scary games that I will stay away from.  Denver is the best team thus far, but Dallas can keep them off the field with a solid run game and they are playing at home.  Nobody has shown they can stop Denver yet, so it is hard to go against but I would stay away and save them for an easier week. Green Bay is at home, which is a big advantage but this Packer team does not have the same look as it has in the past.  They are an offensive team that at times looks sluggish and they are playing against a Detroit team that is almost as good offensively but much better defensively.  Green Bay is favored by 7 coming off a bye but that seems like a line based on past performance and I would stay away from the Pack this week.