Thursday, October 16, 2014

Week 7 Fantasy Picks

Last week was an odd one for fantasy as many players kept going up and down, with no sign of consistency, thanks NY Giants offense.  The Giants were starting to show promise from an offensive perspective, but they put up a real stinker last week to an okay defense.  That line that showed promise was used and abused this past Sunday night and fantasy owners felt it hard.  Our quarterback picks were the worst of the group as Big Ben, Eli and Matt Ryan all were not worth the start that we suggested and that percentage is unacceptable.  We did fairly well the rest of the way as there were no huge misses besides Andre Williams, who was part of the Giants debacle.  Let us make up for our calls any way we can.

Quarterbacks

Mr. Newton will need to use
those legs that look to be
healthy early and often in
Green Bay.
Cam Newton, Cam showed that his ability to run is back as he was able to amass 100 yards rushing as they don't have any other choice when it comes to the running game.  The once stout Carolina defense has shown they can be penetrated, which is not good news with Rodgers at home as this week's opponent.  Newton will have to do his best to keep up and we could be looking at a 3 touchdown performance.
Tony Romo, the Giants have struggled to stop people from throwing touchdowns and have done a decent job from keeping people from running into the end zone, so look for some goal line looks through the air this week and Romo could notch 3 touchdowns as well, but is a good bet for at least 2.
Carson Palmer, don't expect crazy numbers out of Palmer, but the Raiders allow a lot of passing touchdowns, so Palmer will not disappoint this week and he is a cheap FanDuel fantasy play as well, which is vital as many of the big quarterbacks all have tougher matchups and may not be worth the spend.
Kirk Cousins, Cousins who has not played great football, has still been pretty good fantasy wise, especially if you play in a league that only deducts a point for interception.  The Redskins need a win and have Tennessee coming to town.  Could be a good combination.

Sleepers

Tom Brady, I would have had him as my top quarterback as the Jets stop the run and are terrible against the pass.  The main issue is that the weather will not be working in his favor as there should be consistent rain tonight.  They should be able to move the ball, despite the rivalry, and I expect him to at least have 2 touchdowns as they will not be able to run the ball, especially with Ridley out.
Kyle Orton, I would not expect big numbers, but he could get you a couple of touchdowns with the Vikings coming to town and could be a serviceable #2 in 2 quarterback leagues.
Brian Hoyer, steady he goes, as he doesn't put up huge numbers, but he consistently puts up okay numbers and hasn't thrown out a true stinker as he constantly has double digit points.  Going to Jacksonville could change that and he might hit 20 points for second time this year.

Don't Start

Austin Davis, Seattle is not too happy and after being shredded, expect Mr. Davis to feel the brunt of it.
For the record, I don't love Drew Brees this week, especially without Graham.  It is tough to bench him, but he may not give you numbers you expect out of Brees.  I would also not expect a duplicate performance from Flacco, despite the Falcons playing some poor defense.  They still have good young corners, they just need to find a rush to have quarterbacks get the ball out quicker.


Running Backs

Ben Tate, if you haven't noticed, Tate is playing some good football for fantasy owners the last couple of weeks.  Don't expect anything different going to Jacksonville.
Justin Forsett, on the flip side of Atlanta's decent pass defense is a bad run defense and Baltimore seems to have given Forsett the green light and he has produced especially for PPR owners.
Fred Jackson, with Spiller not looking the part, the ageless wonder Fred Jackson is getting the goal line carries with a conservative offense.  Like him a lot against Minnesota.
Branden Oliver, give this guy the start until he disappoints.  He is getting the majority of the touches and produces when he does.
Lamar Miller, back to being the main back, where hopefully the Fins learn to feed this man as he averages around 5 yards a carry.  He can also catch the ball and going to Chicago, they may need to keep the ball on the ground and out of Cutler's hands.

Sleepers

Chris Ivory, pretty bad weather, the Patriots are missing Mayo and they have not been great against the run in general.  The big issue will be whether the Patriots will allow Geno to pass and focus on stopping the run.  This would definitely be a game plan start, which is tough as we are all on the outside.  May be worth the risk if you are desperate.
Antone Smith, if you have not picked him up and he is available, get on the wire and do it.  This guy keeps producing despite the Falcon's coaching staff being so inept as to see what they have.  He might be worth it this week, especially in PPR leagues.  Not bad if you are desperate.

Don't Start

Steven Jackson, going to Baltimore is not a good luck for a running back to begin with, but when you look old and terrible to boot, really bad look.  I also expect him to lose even more touches to other running backs, that look like they should still be playing in the NFL.
Saints RB, take your pick here.  I wouldn't start any of them going into Detroit.

Wide Receivers

Desean Jackson, keep riding this guy as he keeps producing and this will be the third week in a row that we have picked him.
Brandon Marshall, I know I usually don't put these guys on here, but he has been getting some slack the last few weeks.  Going against Miami, Marshall will be ready and with his best buddy throwing him the ball, expect Cutler to force some extra targets to him.
Brandin Cooks, playing against Detroit without Graham, look for Brees to get rid of the ball quickly.  These quick throws to Cooks will make up for their lack of running game.
Randle/Beckham, going into Dallas after a truly lackluster performance, I expect the Giants to get back to throwing the ball quickly and without Cruz around, these 2 should pick up the slack.

Sleepers

Brandon Lafell, I know it is tough weather, but with teams finally doubling Edelman, Lafell is reaping the benefits and be worth the look tonight, if you are desperate.
Andre Holmes, this is a tough one as he is beginning to look like Carr's favorite guy, but this could lead to Peterson covering him, which is not a good look.  I would possibly take a chance in a PPR league if you are desperate.

Deep Sleep

Preston Parker, this would be a FanDuel receiver that will be very cheap and may produce some points as he will most likely take over for Cruz.  Will have nickel backs covering him most of the night, give him a look.

Tight Ends

Jordan Cameron, get back on the Cameron train as he is healthy and Hoyer's favorite target.

Jace Amaro, fast becoming a favorite target and he is beginning to understand how the NFL works.  Worth a shot if you are desperate.






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