Saturday, September 13, 2014

Fantasy Picks for Week #2

It is that time of the week again and we are now entering our game #2.  Hopefully, you were all successful in week one and maybe we gave you a tip that worked out in your favor.  Let's try and repeat our week 1 success.  There have been some new people taking a look and I want to make sure that you are all aware that I don't pick people like Peyton Manning, Calvin Johnson or LeSean McCoy or anybody of that caliber.  Those types of players are must starts and the only time I will mention them is if for some reason, I think you shouldn't start one of marquis players in the league.  I try to pick guys that you may not start and could be borderline guys.  Now on to the picks!

Quarterbacks

Must Start

Tom Brady, I am going double or nothing on this guy, as he was one of my few misses from last week, and the Patriots in general.  There is no way that he can have bad games twice in a row.  Belichick and the staff sat down and they figured out what was wrong with the line and they will look better this week.  If they do put up a similar stinker, the Patriots may be in trouble, but I don't see it happen.
Colin Kaepernick, I know this looks a lot like last week, but if they have the good matchups and look good then I am going to roll with them.  He has a weak Chicago defense coming to the grand opening of the new stadium and that place will be amped.  The great think about CK, is that the 49ers love to throw the ball down near the goal line, which is bad for Frank Gore owners but great for CK.
Andy Dalton, this kid keeps getting them to the playoffs and everybody complains.  Dalton, is young and is coming of age as each year he takes a step forward.  People are surprised that he plays the way he does, but if you watched him in college, it was no different.  He did not blow people away week in and week out.  He did just what he does now, he has a good game every once in a while, but he rarely loses them on his own.  This week, I like him a lot as I like the Bengals this year as well.  The pass happy Falcon offense is coming to town, but so is the same defense that takes steps back every year.  This should be a good game to watch as the Bengals D, as good as it is, may have a hard time with the Falcon offense and this leads to Dalton airing it out.  This is a good situation for Dalton owners or to take a flyer on him in Fan Duel as he is not that expensive.  Start with pride.
Is it back to the old Palmer?
Carson Palmer, don't sleep on Palmer as he may not be what he used to be, but he might have this team playing at a playoff level this season.  They have a very good defense that is not fully healthy and Michael Floyd is beginning to show what he can do at this level.  On the other side you have Larry Fitzgerald that will get more targets this week after not doing much last week as that is how it usually works.  They are playing the Giants and I expect at least 2 touchdown passes out of Palmer.

Don't Start

Phillip Rivers, I know it seems like I am picking on Rivers, but with the "Legion of Boom" coming to town, you might want to rest him this week.
Eli Manning, until this guy gets it going, you might want to leave him be, especially against Arizona.

Sleepers

Chad Henne, this guy might be worth the gamble, especially in a FanDuel type of league, where he he will not be that expensive.  Not sold on their running game, they will be throwing the ball near the goal line and this veteran might be able to get you a couple of touchdowns against an aging defensive backfield in Washington.
Jake Locker, they have this guy playing mistake free football and I expect more of that against a defense that is having a hard time figuring anything out as Dallas comes to town.

Running Backs

Gio Bernard, I know that Gio was picked pretty high in most drafts and should be a must start, but I don't have him as one yet, except for PPR leagues.  Not sure he is the guy to get goal line looks yet and if he is not getting more than 20 touches, might be a risk in most leagues.  This week he has the Falcons coming to town and I expect him to be heavily involved and he should be able to do work.
Chris Johnson/Chris Ivory, the Jets like to run and they are going to want to keep the ball away from the Packer offense, so I expect both to get a lot of touches and they should be able to do well vs this just okay defense.
Knowshon Moreno, I like how the Dolphins are playing all around football and I expect them to stay run heavy and let the defense do its job in what should be a tight game in Buffalo.  Moreno should get the bulk of the carries as the season progresses and I expect him to make the most of it, especially this week.
Terrence West, read what I wrote about the Jets and replace it with Browns and West.  Saints are coming and they will try to be run heavy against their weak defense.
Frank Gore, I have Gore, so this is personal as if last week happens again, it might tough to start him with Hyde getting almost as many touches. This week is a great matchup and the 49ers should run the ball against this weak Chicago defense and hopefully Gore finds the end zone this week.

Don't Start

Falcon RB, whoever you were thinking of putting in, I would avoid as they travel to Cincy, who do a great job against the run.
Williams/Stewart, I would stay away from Carolina's backs as the Lion defensive line usually eats running backs for lunch and I expect the same to happen this week.
Rashad Jennings, eventually, he will make the good list, but until Eli, the offensive line or anybody in this organization shows improvement, I will keep him on this one.  Especially against Arizona.

Sleepers

Mark Ingram, he looked especially good after dropping some weight in the offseason and he seems to be getting the goal line carries on a very good offense, might be worth the start, especially in FanDuel for $5900.
Darren McFadden, if MJD does not go, this might be Run DMC's last chance to show that he is a capable NFL back.  I know it is against Houston, but if you are up against it and maybe you had Peterson on your team, take a look as he is probably on the wire.
Asiata/Mckinnon, speaking of Peterson, these 2 will be the guys taking over for the foreseeable future.  Asiata is a straight ahead runner, which might not bode well against this Patriot defense.  McKinnon will be the change of pace guy which might have more room to run and do better, but Asiata is the better pick as he will at least get goal line looks.

Wide Receivers

Mike Wallace, this combo seems to be ready to go this season and I expect a better performance as Revis won't be on the other end.
Reggie Wayne, this guy looked real good and Luck really likes him.  Start this guy in all ppr leagues as he will be targeted, just not sure he will be scoring much this year.  Eagles will be scoring against this swiss cheese defense, so Luck will have to follow suit.
Jeremy Maclin, had a lot of targets last week and they are playing the Colts.  Let's move on.
Eric Decker, Smith targets him a lot and they have the Packers in town.  Might have to get a lot more looks to keep up.
Brandin Cooks, might be an every week as he already is in ppr leagues in my opinion.  Might be the last week I mention him as I like him that much.

Don't Start

Allen Hurns/Donnie Avery, I put them together as they both had big weeks, but I would wait and see on these 2.  Dwayne Bowe is back and there are more talented receivers in Jacksonville.  Last week would seem to be an aberration for Hurns and I would not start him this week.
Keenan Allen, look at what I said about Rivers.
Cordarelle Patterson, I know this guy is all the rage and I know he is talented, but I expect Belichick to keep this one guy in check with Peterson out.

Sleepers

Hakeem Nicks, he is a very talented receiver that is currently the third or fourth option in Indy.  Luck seems to notice his talent, especially around the goal line as he is their biggest wide receiver.  Could be a FanDuel special this week, with an eye towards the future in regular leagues.
Brian Quick, the Rams don't have much and Quick was maybe the lone bright spot.  Chris Long is out for a while, which hurts the defense and that means a lot more throwing in St. Louis.
Robert Woods, Manuel seems to be picking up where he left off early last season with Woods.  Keep an eye on this combo and might be worth the look in deep leagues.
Kendall Wright/Justin Hunter, like what these 2 have to offer especially with Dallas coming to town.

Tight Ends

Luke Miller, Wilson really seems to like this guy and I don't expect this to be a blowout as they are on the road in San Diego.  Wilson will be throwing until the final whistle and Miller gets a lot of targets, especially near the goal line.
Niles Paul, look out for this guy as he is taking over for Jordan Reed in Washington.  Griffin keeps it safe and what is safer than throwing to your tight end, that used to be a wide receiver. He will be my surprise of the week.

Sleeper

Dwayne Allen, with Fleener dropping the ball too often and Allen making the most of his targets, there could be a changing of the guard.  They may need him with Philly coming to town.
Larry Donnell, good week last week and a lot of drops by the receivers in New York, this could lead to Donnell becoming a better option than he should be.  Cruz did come out and complain about his lack of targets, so we could see Eli forcing more bad throws to Cruz so he can do a Salsa dance.

Defense

Houston, I know that Clowney is out, but Watt is playing pretty insane and the rest of the defense is following suit.  They are going to Oakland and playing against a rookie quarterback, a backup running back with injury problems and a receiving corps that nobody could name.  Seems like a good defense to have this week.

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