Saturday, September 27, 2014

Fantasy Picks for Week 4

ATP picked up some of the slack last week as we hit on the majority of picks, but now the byes are coming into play and we are going to have to dig deeper to find some hidden gems.  On to our picks for week four.

Quarterbacks

Tony Romo, I can appreciate what they have been doing in Dallas since the first game debacle, but with the Saints coming to town, the Cowboys will need to throw a little more than they have been recently.  Expect Romo to throw 2 and maybe even a third touchdown on Sunday night.
Phillip Rivers, the Jaguars are coming to town and that should be enough said, but the Jags have a new qb that you should not sleep on, so don't expect a blow out in this one.  Rivers should have a big game nonetheless.
Ryan Tannehill, a lot of controversy down in Miami about who should be starting, but a trip to Oakland may be just what is needed.  With his job possibly on the line, I expect them to run more, which should make it a little bit easier to throw when given the chance.  Should be able to get a couple in the end zone through the air.

Sleepers

Blake Bortles, don't expect miracles as it is his first start, but this young buck has looked good when given the opportunity and has a strong arm.  If you are stuck in a 2 quarterback league, this guy could really surprise you as they will have to keep up with the Chargers and the Jag running game has been non existent this year, which means there will be a lot of opportunity for him.
Mike Glennon, I would take Bortles out of the 2, but if Glennon gets the start, he has 2 big receivers that he likes to throw to and the Pitt D looked good last week, but we will see if it was an aberration.

Running Backs

Lamar Miller, after a lot of passing last week, I expect the Dolphin offense to get back to running and Miller, without much competition should thrive against Oakland.  He has also been doing well out of the backfield as a receiver.
Bradshaw looking like he did back as
a Giant.  Could help some fantasy
owners this week.
Donald Brown, there is nobody else in San Diego and the Jaguars do not do a great job of stopping the run, so expect Mr. Brown to have a good week.
Matt Forte/ Eddie Lacy, both have had pretty bad years so far, but expect them to pick it up this week as they are facing each other's defense, which should put a smile on both of their faces along with their fantasy owners.
Ahmad Bradshaw, slowly becoming the guy in Indy as Luck likes to throw to him out of the backfield as well.  Look for Indy to run the ball in the second half as they should have a decent lead at home against the Titans.

Sleepers

DeAngelo Williams, this guy is back and will carry the load as everybody else in Carolina is hurt.  As long as he is healthy, he should be a good start even though they are playing Baltimore.

Don't start

Chris Ivory/Chris Johnson, going against a tough Detroit run defense, these 2 will be up against it.  I would not even be scared to drop Johnson at this point if you have better options as they are not using him a lot and when he does get an opportunity, he is not making the most of it.
Joique Bell, don't love him going against the Jet run D.  There were some injuries on the defensive line to keep an eye on, but if they are at full strength, there are better options out there.

Wide Receivers

Mike Evans/V-Jax, Mike Glennon should be starting and V-Jax had a great season with Glennon last year and Evans saw increased targeting last week when he stepped in.  Both of these guys worth the look and there could be some upside for Evans in the future.
Jeremy Kerley, it will be tough sledding for the running backs this week and Mr. Kerley should get a lot of targets with Decker still not at 100%.
Golden Tate, this will be specific to whether Megatron plays or not as he is still up in the air.  Stafford will be throwing a lot, so this could work out regardless as he should get some targets as Calvin is usually the focus of opposing pass defenses.
Roddy White, had a week off and will be happy to get back out there and take advantage of the Minnesota defensive backfield.  Look for shorter passes as Minnesota tries to take away the big play and make teams drive on them.

Sleeper

Jordan Matthews, this is the Eagles third receiver, who is quickly becoming the second one.  He had 2 touchdowns and was an ATP pre-season deep sleeper.  You could do worse than this guy in a ppr league, but also has tremendous upside as he will usually have a better match up than Maclin and Cooper on the outside, with most likely a nickel back or safety will be covering him.
Markus Wheaton, I am going to put my money on this guy again as he gets a lot of short targets and he has big play ability and speed.  More suited to be a ppr league guy.

Defenses

Pittsburgh, this team is available in most leagues and they have Tampa coming to town this week. This could blow up in our face, but there is tremendous upside as they did a great job last week at Carolina and hopefully, the Steeler D has turned it around and feast on Mike Glennon making his first start.

Atlanta, another gamble with upside.  Going to play against Minnesota with Bridgewater making his first career start.  These Atlanta corners are much better than people think as we just expect them to be bad, but keep an eye on Trufant and Alford manning these corners.












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