Suicide Picks for Week 1

Anybody who has read this blog knows how I feel about week 1 suicide picks and might already know that I usually go with what always works.  Don't overthink the room week 1 because once you lose you are out.  The goal is to get to the following week so until you can get a true feel of who's who as it changes every year (I don't think anybody thought the Colts, Redskins and Seahawks would have made playoffs with rookie quarterbacks), stick with the year in year out teams.  On to the picks.

Tried and True

Stay safe and go with this guy or
try your luck with Luck, he
is a pretty safe pick as well.

New England Patriots, I basically pick this team almost every year as a week 1 as it is the toughest week.  Regardless of the situation at receiver, Belichick and company find a way to beat EJ Manuel and the Buffalo Bills.  I think Manuel could turn out to be pretty good but Billy Boy always gives rookie quarterbacks a tough time, just ask Andrew Luck.  Safest pick as far as I am concerned.

Indianapolis Colts,  The Colts are at home against Terrelle Pryor and the Oakland Raiders.  Not that I think the Colts will be as good as last year, but I think the Oakland Raiders are basically phoning it in for the year going with Pryor at quarterback.  This should be a pretty safe pick as Luck has a year under his belt and should be able to take this one pretty easily.

A Little Bit Risky

Kansas City Chiefs, Andy Reid in his first game as coach of the new look Chiefs will travel to Jacksonville and take on Gus Bradley, in his first game as head coach.  I like Bradley and it seems like the Jaguars are trying to turn it around, but I have to think that with this offensive line improving, Jamal Charles running the ball and Alex Smith playing mistake free football should be enough.  The Chiefs defense is better than people think and I like these guys to make a run at going .500 this year.

Stay Away

Seattle Seahawks, I like Seattle but there will be plenty of opportunities to take these guys this year.  Going to Carolina and playing a wild card like Cam Newton in the opener is a gamble.  You could luck out but there are better options than this one and more important, safer ones.  Remember the goal is to get to week 2 and live to fight another day.

Houston Texans, in the last game of the NFL weekend, the Texans will travel to San Diego and take on the new look Chargers.  Phillip Rivers, coming off a pretty bad year, will look to make his mark this year.  The Norv Turner era has ended and the Chargers will be rejuvenated and I would like to see what they are made of.  Monday night home underdogs are a tough to go against on week 1.