Week 4 Suicide Picks

Take Rodgers for the easy win, don't
be greedy!

Suicide picks were the lone bright spot for ATP last week and we are still alive in our pools, so if you are still alive in yours, let us see if we can get you by this week.  The obvious choice is Green Bay vs Denver, as any team can win in any week, but Green Bay at home is the best choice and if you haven't used them yet, take them.  For the record, the rest of the larger spreads I am a bit wary of.  Tampa is playing Indy at home and is a heavy favorite, but they haven't shown me that they are worthy and Indy showed me something last week.  If I had to, I would go Tampa, but I for one am staying away.  The 2 teams that I have been wrestling with are New Orleans and Buffalo.  They are both on the road and I think that the Buffalo at Cincy game, could be a let down game after a big come back win vs NE last week.  I think I am going with New Orleans just because of the let down game worry.  Both teams are in the same situation, where they are high powered offenses going against offensively challenged teams, which takes away some of the worry for me.  Jacksonville has a rookie quarterback with no big threat receivers, so they should not be able to keep up with Brees and the Saints.  I do like Buffalo more than Tampa though.  For the record, I am going with Green Bay and the Saints.

My riskier picks for the less conservative.  I like Minnesota to get its first win on the road vs KC, as Jared Allen is highly motivated and they can't keep losing these first half leads.  Get ready to see a lot of Adrian Peterson if they have a lead and close out this game.  Tennessee is a half point underdog at Cleveland, but I like them to win this game as Hasselback is quietly playing as good as most quarterbacks in this league with a rating of over 100.

Suicide Picks for week 3

So far, I am 4-0 with my main picks as they have been fairly safe.  The safe ones are becoming fewer and fewer and the further you go into the season you will not be able to use the most likely picks.  I never like to pick this team as they are the epitome of a Jekyll and Hyde.  I am personally picking the San Diego Chargers as I don't think the Chiefs can get out of their own way yet.  This is the NFL and it is still early in the season, which means the Chargers can always disappoint.  I still feel pretty good as they are mainly healthy and have too many receiving options.  Until the Chiefs show they can either score some points or actually stop somebody, they don't stand a chance.  A lot of what I just said applies to the Steelers vs Indy, except for the fact that the Steelers usually beat the teams they should beat.  My go out on the limb picks this week are the NY Jets going into Oakland and coming home with the win.  Vegas only has them as 3 pt favorites, so it is not a gimme by their standards.  My super gamble pick is the Carolina Panthers to get their first win with Cam Newton going against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Carolina.  I am not sure if the Jaguars can score with the Panthers as they seem to be offensively challenged.  I see a 21-17 win a real possibility here as long as Newton can stay healthy, which is more likely than a Michael Vick as he is much bigger.

Suicide Picks for week 2

I was able to go 2-0 last week with suicides as many people fell in my pool and from what I have heard in many others as well.  As I firmly believe that you keep going with who is going to win this week and not try and get fancy, the first of my 2 picks will be the Green Bay Packers.  Try not to out think the room as many did with the Cleveland Browns and KC Chiefs last week.
The first of my 2 picks will be the GB Packers as there is no way Carolina will have a chance against these guys as they won't be stopping them much with their defense and Cam Newton will have a much harder time this week.
The second of my picks is a little bit tougher as if I pick the Steelers at home against the Seahawks and lose, they would have made me look bad 3 times in the first 2 weeks as my preseason forecast would be looking pretty tough if they were 0-2.  Another team I like is the NY Jets at home vs the Jaguars, but this is one of those scary let down games.  All's it would take is a couple of bad Sanchez passes and I could see the Jaguars winning 16-13.  That being said, you could do worse than pick any of these 3, but I am going to officially state Green Bay and Pittsburgh are my 2 official picks for this week.