It is been fairly 50-50 here at ATP, with these picks so tread with caution as you would be losing with the juice. Unless you did a three team tease last week with my picks, then you would have covered, which is what I usually do.
I have 2 picks this week that are battles of futility. In the first game, I like Kansas City getting 2.5 points to go into Indy and come out with an outright win. I think the Chiefs realize this is a game they need to win and want to keep the momentum going. Indy has had some key injuries that will cause more problems than Painter can handle. I expect it to be fairly low scoring, so if you want to tease the 39 point under, feel free to do that.
The next game I like is Arizona to go into Minnesota and cover getting 3 points. Minnesota is going to have to show me they can win, before making them a 3 point favorite. When your red zone target is Michael Jenkins, you don't really have the right to be a 3 point favorite even if you are at home.
My surprise special of the week is to take Carolina getting 7 points as even though I like New Orleans in the suicide pool, I realize that is a game that Carolina can win and definitely cover at home. New Orleans is going to put a lot of pressure on Carolina, but nobody has seemed to be getting to him so far so I will cover my ass and take the Panthers to cover.
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